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2024-12-14 01:16:32

Third, tomorrow's A-share market inference(B) Macro policies and news expectations(B) Macro policies and news expectations


(A) macroeconomic factorsTrend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.Considering the current situation of market segmentation today, tomorrow's plate rotation will play a key role in the market trend. Although the financial sector changed in early trading today, it failed to continuously lead the market to rise. If the financial sector, especially the banking and securities sector, can rise again tomorrow under the impetus of favorable policies or expected improvement of its own performance, it is expected to stabilize the market index and drive the market sentiment to rebound. For example, if there are positive signals such as the improvement of net interest margin and the improvement of asset quality in the banking sector, it will attract capital inflows and provide solid support for the upward movement of the index.


(B) Macro policies and news expectationsThe technical forms of Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index are similar to those of Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, and they both face short-term technical adjustment pressure. Shenzhen Stock Exchange means that if the closing price of tomorrow is lower than today's low, and the technical indicators such as relative strength index (RSI) continue to weaken, it may further test the bottom area of the previous box consolidation. Growth enterprise market refers to the supporting role of its 20-day moving average after experiencing today's high opening and low going. If we can hold the moving average and some growth sectors can stop falling and stabilize, the GEM index may be able to maintain a relatively stable range fluctuation in the short term; If it falls below the moving average and the trading volume is enlarged, it may pull back to a lower level, dragging down the whole market sentiment.

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